Remember when the world thought it needed “Lebensraum” or the “population explosion” would doom us all to Malthusian famines? But all that turned out to be bullshit. Human societies are remarkably adaptive and the reality is demographics are not in fact key drivers of wars UNLESS YOU THINK THEY ARE. It’s not that the nazis were forced into wars, that was just a convenient myth. So be careful when making myths about the inevitable doom of America’s enemies or the “inevitable” demographically driven American victory.Perhaps unwittingly, Zeihan is reprising eugenics / lebensraum / population explosion determinism, but from the other side of the equation. I expect it will similarly go bust.
Zeihan is well intended, and more right than wrong, but his demographic determinism is wrong.